Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 89.204063 99.459114 109.888221 121.257429 133.272399 145.563907 159.060444
2025-08-24 73.394018 88.265798 104.006440 121.784033 141.186322 161.611776 184.634281
2025-08-31 62.556027 79.847772 98.717892 120.586582 144.996374 171.192441 201.225244
2025-09-07 55.792625 75.017297 96.551608 122.042164 151.007865 182.559207 219.198888
2025-09-14 50.575945 71.336711 95.145410 123.853763 156.974744 193.500609 236.362861
2025-09-21 44.711409 66.336834 91.749257 122.965074 159.518058 200.309324 248.651656
2025-09-28 38.867851 60.864401 87.379783 120.567311 160.003036 204.518765 257.773116
2025-10-05 37.027629 60.231461 88.699648 124.784383 168.079366 217.316511 276.574878
2025-10-12 34.640762 58.684676 88.735133 127.322935 174.075484 227.640747 292.492566
2025-10-19 31.098000 55.341307 86.316653 126.695675 176.166029 233.319986 302.975908
2025-10-26 27.919420 52.248251 84.027372 126.066926 178.122914 238.739142 313.071997
2025-11-02 25.581934 50.148646 82.886796 126.759640 181.589337 245.866706 325.102523
2025-11-09 22.809206 47.251590 80.592470 125.935176 183.188371 250.806725 334.638439
2025-11-16 20.688940 45.153965 79.253103 126.245271 186.124191 257.303631 345.987745
2025-11-23 18.265674 42.387716 76.853154 125.059453 187.104011 261.379247 354.414689
2025-11-30 16.908083 41.182668 76.536417 126.539691 191.376191 269.395151 367.498709
2025-12-07 15.773896 40.245451 76.534228 128.390097 196.083817 277.920540 381.181870
2025-12-14 13.945130 37.985368 74.531682 127.482718 197.227118 282.059306 389.585071
2025-12-21 11.881172 35.101266 71.474883 125.034684 196.309120 283.604910 394.817247
2025-12-28 11.688885 35.564877 73.365694 129.339930 204.089577 295.857157 412.967044
2026-01-04 11.092734 35.227294 74.024419 131.930947 209.642964 305.360561 427.802691
2026-01-11 9.795637 33.431904 72.393100 131.290765 210.954385 309.584321 436.224401
2026-01-18 8.613233 31.721902 70.806975 130.649036 212.215926 313.712155 444.504883